Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson — Washington Round of 32

Washington · WTA · Round of 32
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
ITA
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
#68WTA
1805ELO
1773Hard ELO
$555kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLLWWL
—
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
Clara Tauson
DEN
Clara Tauson
#30WTA
1802ELO
1775Hard ELO
$911kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLWWLL
Cocciaretto E.
vs
Tauson C.

Elisabetta Cocciaretto faces Clara Tauson in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Clara Tauson holds the paper edge — ranked #30.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Cocciaretto E.36%
Tauson C.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tauson C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Clara Tauson has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 41 vs 4).
  • Serve & return: Clara Tauson leads on Serve Rating (55), Elisabetta Cocciaretto on Return Rating (57).
  • Fatigue load: Clara Tauson carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
7 common opponents · Cocciaretto E. 2–6 · Tauson C. 5–4
Both lost · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cocciaretto E.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Tauson C.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1772
Surface ELO
5.0+3 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1802
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

24 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
Cocciaretto E.Tauson C.
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
40%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
7.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Cocciaretto E.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Tauson C.

Tauson C.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Cocciaretto E.

Serve advantage — Cocciaretto E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Cocciaretto E.Tauson C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
4
41
Break points saved·Dominant
11
45
Break points won·Clear edge
65
86
Deciding sets·Clear edge
3
24
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Cocciaretto E.Tauson C.
Freshness·
—
87

Tauson C.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw