Jan Choinski vs Francesco Passaro — Bonn Round of 32
GBR1
Choinski J.
Jan Choinski faces Francesco Passaro in the Bonn round of 32 on clay. Jan Choinski holds the paper edge — ranked #90, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Jan Choinski 69 games in 14 days, Francesco Passaro 77.
- Surface form: Jan Choinski 5 of 6, Francesco Passaro 2 of 6 on clay recently — Jan Choinski the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadChoinski J.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Passaro F.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.