Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Andrea Pellegrino — San Marino Round of 32
Caniato C.Carlo Alberto Caniato faces Andrea Pellegrino in the San Marino round of 32 on clay. Andrea Pellegrino holds the paper edge — ranked #138, a roughly 380-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Pellegrino A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Carlo Alberto Caniato 32 games in 14 days, Andrea Pellegrino 100.
- Surface form: Carlo Alberto Caniato 3 of 8, Andrea Pellegrino 4 of 8 on clay recently — Andrea Pellegrino the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadCaniato C.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Pellegrino A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.