Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu — Targu Mures Round of 32
Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
Ibragimova A.vs
Ilinca Burcescu M.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTCIbragimova A.60%
Ilinca Burcescu M.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Ibragimova A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 months1 common opponents · Ibragimova A. 1–0 · Ilinca Burcescu M. 0–1 · small sample
Ibragimova A. better · same surface, 1 days apart · ⚠ lower-tier event▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form5.25 of last 9 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
21 vs 2 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
50%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
33%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
45%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
48%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
0.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
10.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
51
97
Ibragimova A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d) · Ilinca Burcescu M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 74%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.