Miriam Bianca Bulgaru vs Carole MonnetTargu Mures Round of 32

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#246WTA
1366ELO
1330Clay ELO
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLLLWL
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
#192WTA
1538ELO
1524Clay ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWLLWW
Bianca Bulgaru M.
vs
Monnet C.

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru faces Carole Monnet in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Carole Monnet holds the paper edge — ranked #192, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Bianca Bulgaru M.47%
Monnet C.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
2 common opponents · Bianca Bulgaru M. 0–2 · Monnet C. 1–1 · small sample
Both lost · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1330
Surface ELO
7.4+194 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1366
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.23 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

10 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
54%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
43%
Service points won·Even
49%
52%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
38%
49%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
1.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bianca Bulgaru M.serving34% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Monnet C.

Monnet C.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Bianca Bulgaru M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
20
3
Break points saved·Even
25
29
Break points won·Clear edge
60
76
Deciding sets·Dominant
59
1
Tiebreaks·
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
91

Bianca Bulgaru M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Monnet C.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 13 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw