Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet — Los Cabos Round of 32
FRA6
Brooksby J.
Jenson Brooksby faces Corentin Moutet in the Los Cabos round of 32 on hard. Corentin Moutet holds the paper edge — ranked #40, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Jenson Brooksby grades 19 on serve, Corentin Moutet 60 on return.
- Fatigue load: Corentin Moutet carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Head-to-head: Corentin Moutet leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Canada Masters 2025.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | R128 | hard | Corentin Moutet | 6-2 6-1 |