Madison Brengle vs Alexandra Vagramov — Vancouver Round of 32
Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
Brengle M.vs
Vagramov A.
Madison Brengle faces Alexandra Vagramov in the Vancouver round of 32 on hard. Madison Brengle holds the paper edge — ranked #209. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTCBrengle M.56%
Vagramov A.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
- Surface form: Both 3 of 7 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
2.93 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.96 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 5
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
37 vs 16 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
78%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
54%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
16°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 88%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.