Laura Samson vs Alesia Breaz — Targu Mures Round of 32
Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
Samson L.vs
Breaz A.
Laura Samson faces Alesia Breaz in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Laura Samson holds the paper edge — ranked #150.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTCSamson L.77%
Breaz A.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Samson L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Laura Samson carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Laura Samson 5 of 8, Alesia Breaz 3 of 8 on clay recently — Laura Samson the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.47 of last 10 on clay
Surface form5.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streakFatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
21 vs 2 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
68%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
0.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
7.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 74%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.