Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter — Washington Round of 32
Washington · WTA · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
Krueger A.vs
Boulter K.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTCKrueger A.55%
Boulter K.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 months12 common opponents · Krueger A. 2–10 · Boulter K. 6–6
Both lost · same surface▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1723
Surface ELO5.9+71 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1791
ELO gap5.5Overall Elo 1831
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
20 vs 21 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.8
4.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Boulter K.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
28
46
Break points saved·Even
18
19
Break points won·Clear edge
59
72
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
20
31
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 76%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.