Coleman Wong vs Darwin BlanchLos Cabos Round of 32

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32
#112ATP
1602ELO
1593Hard ELO
$287kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLLLW
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
#225ATP
1551ELO
1483Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLWLLW
Wong C.
vs
Blanch D.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Wong C.57%
Blanch D.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
2 common opponents · Wong C. 2–0 · Blanch D. 1–1 · small sample
Both won · different surfaces (Hard × Clay)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+110 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1483
5.6Overall Elo 1602
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1551
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.9
6.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Wong C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Blanch D.

Blanch D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Wong C.

Serve advantage — Blanch D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
83

Wong C.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Blanch D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw