Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra BerteaTargu Mures Round of 32

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#321WTA
1378ELO
1270Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10
LWLWLLWLLL
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#268WTA
1494ELO
1477Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10
LLLLLLLWWL
Malygina E.
vs
Ruxandra Bertea E.

Elena Malygina faces Elena Ruxandra Bertea in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Elena Ruxandra Bertea is the paper favourite — ranked #268, a roughly 210-point clay Elo advantage — but Elena Malygina arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 5 on clay to Elena Ruxandra Bertea's 0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Malygina E.44%
Ruxandra Bertea E.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Clay Elo 1270
Surface ELO
7.6+208 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1378
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1494
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
52%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Malygina E.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Ruxandra Bertea E.

Ruxandra Bertea E.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Malygina E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
97

Malygina E.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Ruxandra Bertea E.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw