Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — San Marino Round of 32
Rincon D.
Daniel Rincon faces Juan Carlos Prado Angelo in the San Marino round of 32 on clay. Juan Carlos Prado Angelo is the paper favourite — ranked #156, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage — but Daniel Rincon arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 9 on clay to Juan Carlos Prado Angelo's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Prado Angelo J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Daniel Rincon 88 games in 14 days, Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 101.
- Surface form: Daniel Rincon 6 of 9, Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 4 of 9 on clay recently — Daniel Rincon the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadRincon D.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 68 games (7d) · Prado Angelo J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.