Marco Cecchinato vs Franco AgamenoneSan Marino Round of 32

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#173ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$167kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWWLL
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
#264ATP
1454ELO
1434Clay ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLWLWW
Cecchinato M.
vs
Agamenone F.

Marco Cecchinato faces Franco Agamenone in the San Marino round of 32 on clay. Marco Cecchinato is the paper favourite — ranked #173, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage — but Franco Agamenone has won their only previous meeting.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Cecchinato M.72%
Agamenone F.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cecchinato M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+112 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1434
6.5Overall Elo 1576
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1454
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
43%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Cecchinato M.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Agamenone F.

Agamenone F.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Cecchinato M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
35
41
Break points saved·Clear edge
78
59
Break points won·Dominant
14
51
Deciding sets·Slight edge
54
43
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
77
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
96

Cecchinato M.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Agamenone F.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-07-25UmagQFclayFranco Agamenone6-2 6-1

Draw