Dan Added vs Lucas Poullain — Samsun Round of 32
Added D.Dan Added faces Lucas Poullain in the Samsun round of 32 on hard. Dan Added holds the paper edge — ranked #223, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Dan Added's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Lucas Poullain's has cooled.
- Fatigue load: Dan Added carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Dan Added 2 of 4, Lucas Poullain 1 of 4 on hard recently — Dan Added the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAdded D.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.