Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger — Livesport Prague Open Final

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Final

UKR8

Daria Snigur

#54WTA

1781ELO

1738Hard ELO

24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWLWWLWW

—

Sets

Sunday, 26 July 2026 · 12:00

hard

LIVESPORT ARENA · 2nd on

AUT

Lilli Tagger

#74WTA

1684ELO

1687Hard ELO

18 yrs · 185 cm

Last 10

WWWWLWWLLL

Snigur D.

Tagger L.

Daria Snigur faces Lilli Tagger in the Livesport Prague Open final on hard. Daria Snigur holds the paper edge — ranked #54, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC

Snigur D.59%

Tagger L.41%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Snigur D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Daria Snigur 62 games in 14 days, Lilli Tagger 102.
Last match: Lilli Tagger dropped the opening set before beating Barbora Krejcikova 6–7 6–3 7–6.
Win streak: Both arrive on four-match winning runs.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

7 common opponents · Snigur D. 7–1 · Tagger L. 5–2

Tagger L. better · same surface▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Snigur D.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Tagger L.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.6+51 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.4Hard Elo 1687

6.2Overall Elo 1781

ELO gap

3.8Overall Elo 1684

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

9.19 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

8.38 of last 10 on hard

7.04-match win streak

Win streak

7.04-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

37 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season

Snigur D.Tagger L.

1st serve in·Slight edge

74%

67%

1st serve points won·Even

64%

68%

2nd serve points won·Even

50%

49%

Service points won·Even

60%

62%

Return points won·Slight edge

49%

43%

Break points saved·Even

60%

58%

Aces / match·Clear edge

1.7

4.1

Double faults / match·Even

1.9

2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Snigur D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Tagger L.

Tagger L.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Snigur D.

Serve advantage — Snigur D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Snigur D.Tagger L.

Freshness·Even

Snigur D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d) · Tagger L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.