Isabella Shinikova vs Miriana TonaTargu Mures Qualifying Semi-final

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#409WTA
1346ELO
1250Clay ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 2nd on
#353WTA
1275ELO
1251Clay ELO
31 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLWL
Shinikova I.
2-6 3-6
Tona M.
Shinikova I.
230
Tona M.
662

Miriana Tona defeated Isabella Shinikova 6-2, 6-3 in the semifinals of the Targu Mures clay court tournament. Tona did not hit an ace but made one double fault, while Shinikova had no aces and two double faults. Tona won 72 percent of her first serves and converted 71 percent of her break points, compared to Shinikova's 52 percent and 25 percent, respectively.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Clear edge
60%
47%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Shinikova I.62%
Tona M.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Shinikova I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1250
Surface ELO
5.0+1 Clay Elo edge
5.9Overall Elo 1346
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1275
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.94 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
89

Shinikova I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Tona M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw