Marko Topo vs Leonardo RossiBonn Qualifying Semi-final

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#341ATP
1463ELO
1399Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#601ATP
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLWWL
Topo M.
6-4 6-1
Rossi L.
Topo M.
662
Rossi L.
410

Marko Topo advanced to the final of the Bonn tournament, defeating Leonardo Rossi in the semifinals. Topo won in straight sets, 6-4, 6-1. He converted 80% of his break points and secured four service breaks en route to victory.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
52%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Topo M.76%
Rossi L.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Topo M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.02 of last 5 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
100

Topo M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Rossi L.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw