Alex Marti Pujolras vs Dusan Obradovic

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final

ESP

Alex Marti Pujolras

#517ATP

27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLLWLLWLW

—

Sets

Sunday, 26 July 2026 · 11:00

clay

SRB12

Dusan Obradovic

#477ATP

25 yrs · Left-handed

Last 10

LWWLWWWWWW

Marti Pujolras A.

Obradovic D.

Alex Marti Pujolras faces Dusan Obradovic in the Bonn qualifying semi-final on clay. Dusan Obradovic holds the paper edge — ranked #477.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC

Marti Pujolras A.57%

Obradovic D.43%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Dusan Obradovic rising, Alex Marti Pujolras cooling.
Surface form: Alex Marti Pujolras 3 of 9, Dusan Obradovic 7 of 9 on clay recently — Dusan Obradovic the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Dusan Obradovic carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Marti Pujolras A.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Obradovic D.

4.7

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.24 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

1.01 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 4

Win streak

0.0Lost last 4

Fatigue & Travel

6.0Hard → Clay

Surface transition

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season

Marti Pujolras A.Obradovic D.

1st serve in·Clear edge

46%

64%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

72%

61%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

41%

47%

Service points won·Even

56%

Return points won·Clear edge

57%

37%

Break points saved·Slight edge

50%

57%

Aces / match·Clear edge

0.0

1.6

Double faults / match·Dominant

11.0

1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Marti Pujolras A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Obradovic D.

Obradovic D.serving49% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Marti Pujolras A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load

Marti Pujolras A.Obradovic D.

Freshness·

—

Marti Pujolras A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather forecast

25°COvercast

Wind 13 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Alex Marti Pujolras vs Dusan Obradovic — Bonn Qualifying Semi-final