Shunsuke Nakagawa vs Saba Purtseladze — Samsun Qualifying Semi-final
Samsun · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
—
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 3rd on
Nakagawa S.vs
Purtseladze S.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTCNakagawa S.54%
Purtseladze S.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form3.73 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
6 vs 9 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
65%
51%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
53%
Return points won·Even
37%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
7.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Nakagawa S.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.