Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Trevor SvajdaWashington Qualifying Final

Washington · ATP · Qualifying Final
#144ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 3rd on
#383ATP
1485ELO
1451Hard ELO
20 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Mcdonald M.
4-6 4-6
Svajda T.
Mcdonald M.
440
Svajda T.
662

Trevor Svajda won the Washington final, defeating Mackenzie McDonald 6-4, 6-4. Svajda hit one ace and committed two double faults, while converting 67% of his break points and winning 73% of his first-serve points. McDonald hit four aces and converted 50% of his break points.

Key context

  • Match story: Trevor Svajda edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersQ2hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Mcdonald M.58%
Svajda T.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+154 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1450
6.5Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1485
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.5Won 75% in Usa (52)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
85

Mcdonald M.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Svajda T.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw