Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Nicolas ParizziaM15 Segrate Final

M15 Segrate · ITF · Final
#411ATP
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
#1044ATP
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
Cruz Martin Manzano J.
6-3 6-4
Parizzia N.
Cruz Martin Manzano J.
662
Parizzia N.
340

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano won the M15 Segrate final, defeating Nicolas Parizzia 6-3, 6-4. Manzano hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 70% of his first serves and converting 50% of break points. Parizzia had 5 aces and 1 double fault, winning 76% of his first serves.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.9
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Cruz Martin Manzano J.61%
Parizzia N.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cruz Martin Manzano J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
82

Cruz Martin Manzano J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Parizzia N.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw