Juan Pablo Varillas vs Stefan LatinovicSan Marino Qualifying Semi-final

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#275ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWLL
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 DE LUIGI · 3rd on
#1315ATP
26 yrs
Last 10
LLWWWWLLWL
Varillas J.
vs
Latinovic S.

Juan Pablo Varillas faces Stefan Latinovic in the San Marino qualifying semi-final on clay. Juan Pablo Varillas holds the paper edge — ranked #275.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Varillas J.79%
Latinovic S.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Varillas J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

28 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
55%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
66%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
34%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Latinovic S.

Latinovic S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
80

Varillas J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw