Jozef Kovalik vs Gabriele Piraino

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final

SVK

Jozef Kovalik

#885ATP

1473ELO

1466Clay ELO

33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLLWLWLWW

—

Sets

Sunday, 26 July 2026 · 09:30

clay

COURT 2 DE LUIGI · 2nd on

ITA8

Gabriele Piraino

#368ATP

1254ELO

1248Clay ELO

22 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

LLWLLLLWLW

Kovalik J.

Piraino G.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC

Kovalik J.62%

Piraino G.38%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kovalik J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Kovalik J.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Piraino G.

4.5

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

7.7+218 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.3Clay Elo 1248

7.7Overall Elo 1473

ELO gap

2.3Overall Elo 1254

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.95 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

3.64 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 5

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season

Kovalik J.Piraino G.

1st serve in·Slight edge

53%

61%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

61%

66%

2nd serve points won·Even

52%

51%

Service points won·Even

57%

60%

Return points won·Even

34%

38%

Break points saved·Slight edge

50%

58%

Aces / match·Clear edge

1.0

3.5

Double faults / match·Clear edge

4.0

2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Kovalik J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Piraino G.

Piraino G.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kovalik J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load

Kovalik J.Piraino G.

Freshness·

100

—

Kovalik J.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Jozef Kovalik vs Gabriele Piraino — San Marino Qualifying Semi-final