Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Alessandra MazzolaTargu Mures Qualifying Semi-final

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#444WTA
1244ELO
1222Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 1st on
#379WTA
1441ELO
1427Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
Kotliar Y.
5-7 6-2 6-2
Mazzola A.
Kotliar Y.
5662
Mazzola A.
7221

Yelyzaveta Kotliar defeated Alessandra Mazzola in the semifinals of the Targu Mures clay tournament. Kotliar won 5-7, 6-2, 6-2. Kotliar hit 2 aces and 11 double faults, while Mazzola had 0 aces and 3 double faults; Kotliar converted 59% of break points and broke Mazzola's serve 10 times, compared to Mazzola's 7 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-22W15 Antalya 8SFclayYelyzaveta Kotliar6-4 7-6(5)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
66%
80%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
54%
Return points won·Even
51%
52%
Break points saved·Even
51%
53%
Aces / match·Even
0.1
0.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Kotliar Y.49%
Mazzola A.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Clay Elo 1222
Surface ELO
7.6+205 Clay Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1244
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1441
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
3.84 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
91

Kotliar Y.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Mazzola A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw