Maya Joint vs Whitney OsuigweMemphis Round of 32

Memphis · WTA · Round of 32
#77WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLLWLL
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
hard
#196WTA
1489ELO
1454Hard ELO
24 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLWWWL
Joint M.
vs
Osuigwe W.

Maya Joint faces Whitney Osuigwe in the Memphis round of 32 on hard. Maya Joint holds the paper edge — ranked #77, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Joint M.73%
Osuigwe W.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Joint M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Under pressure: Maya Joint has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 77 vs Whitney Osuigwe's 24).
  • Fatigue load: Maya Joint carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Joint M. 1–0 · Osuigwe W. 0–1 · small sample
Mixed · hard to compare — different surfaces (Hard × Clay) · 6 months apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+204 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1454
7.1Overall Elo 1659
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1489
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.63 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

7 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Joint M.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Osuigwe W.

Osuigwe W.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
77
24
Break points saved·Dominant
76
18
Break points won·Slight edge
99
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
77
44
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Joint M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
31°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw