Kristina Novak vs Carmen Gallardo GuevaraW15 Las Palmas De Gran Canaria Final

W15 Las Palmas De Gran Canaria · ITF · Final
#740WTA
1181ELO
1126Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
#659WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLLWL
Novak K.
7-5 2-6 3-6
Gallardo Guevara C.
Novak K.
7231
Gallardo Guevara C.
5662

Carmen Gallardo Guevara defeated Kristina Novak in the final of the W15 Las Palmas De Gran Canaria, a clay-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 5-7, 6-2, 6-3 in favor of Gallardo Guevara. She hit one ace and three double faults, while her first-serve win percentage was 62 and she converted 41 percent of break points, securing seven service breaks to Novak's five.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
52%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
58%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
0.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.0
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Novak K.34%
Gallardo Guevara C.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gallardo Guevara C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.32 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.26 of last 8 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw