Marcos Giron vs Andre Ilagan — Washington Qualifying Final

Washington · ATP · Qualifying Final
Marcos Giron
USA2
Marcos Giron
#83ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$500kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
USA
Andre Ilagan
#210ATP
1543ELO
1518Hard ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Giron M.
6-3 7-6
Ilagan A.
Giron M.
6772
Ilagan A.
3620

Marcos Giron won the Washington final, defeating Andre Ilagan 6-3, 7-6 on hard courts. Giron hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, winning 73% of his first serves and converting 40% of break points. He converted 4 service breaks to Ilagan's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Marcos Giron closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Giron M.Ilagan A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
68%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Giron M.Ilagan A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
45
37
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
76
Break points won·Clear edge
37
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
31
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Giron M.68%
Ilagan A.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Giron M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Giron M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Ilagan A.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.3+186 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1518
7.2Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1543
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.5Won 59% in Usa (44)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Giron M.Ilagan A.
Freshness·Dominant
94
61

Giron M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Ilagan A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw