Daniel Elahi Galan vs Michiel De KromBonn Qualifying Semi-final

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#287ATP
1531ELO
1492Clay ELO
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWLWWW
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
#739ATP
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLWLLL
Elahi Galan D.
vs
De Krom M.

Daniel Elahi Galan faces Michiel De Krom in the Bonn qualifying semi-final on clay. Daniel Elahi Galan holds the paper edge — ranked #287.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Elahi Galan D.76%
De Krom M.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Elahi Galan D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

16 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
65%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Elahi Galan D.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs De Krom M.

De Krom M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Elahi Galan D.

Serve advantage — Elahi Galan D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
100

Elahi Galan D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · De Krom M.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 59%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw