Miguel Damas vs Dimitris Sakellaridis — Bonn Qualifying Semi-final

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
ESP1
Miguel Damas
#286ATP
1398ELO
1370Clay ELO
26 yrs · 208 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWLL
—
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
GRE
Dimitris Sakellaridis
#645ATP
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWLWLW
Damas M.
vs
Sakellaridis D.

Miguel Damas faces Dimitris Sakellaridis in the Bonn qualifying semi-final on clay. Miguel Damas is the paper favourite — ranked #286 — but Dimitris Sakellaridis arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Miguel Damas's 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Damas M.54%
Sakellaridis D.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Miguel Damas 5 of 10, Dimitris Sakellaridis 7 of 10 on clay recently — Dimitris Sakellaridis the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Miguel Damas carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Damas M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Sakellaridis D.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

31 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
Damas M.Sakellaridis D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
51%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
38%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
33%
Break points saved·Clear edge
52%
73%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
0.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Damas M.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Sakellaridis D.

Sakellaridis D.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Damas M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Damas M.Sakellaridis D.
Freshness·
86
—

Damas M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 13 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 41%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw