Aleksandar Vukic vs Alex Bolt — Washington Qualifying Final

Washington · ATP · Qualifying Final
Aleksandar Vukic
AUS3
Aleksandar Vukic
#102ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 4 · 1st on
Alex Bolt
AUS10
Alex Bolt
#167ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$137kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLWLLL
Vukic A.
6-0 6-1
Bolt A.
Vukic A.
662
Bolt A.
010

Aleksandar Vukic won the Washington final, defeating Alex Bolt 6-0, 6-1. Vukic served 6 aces to Bolt's 3 and did not commit a double fault, while converting 46% of break points to Bolt's 0%. Vukic broke Bolt's serve 6 times and won 90% of his first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Vukic A.Bolt A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
30%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
44%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
7.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Vukic A.Bolt A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
14
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
81
Break points won·Slight edge
1
11
Deciding sets·Slight edge
30
23
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Vukic A.61%
Bolt A.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vukic A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vukic A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Bolt A.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+57 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1541
5.5Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1588
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Vukic A.Bolt A.
Freshness·Clear edge
70
83

Vukic A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Bolt A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw