Amandine Monnot vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric — Targu Mures Qualifying Semi-final

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
FRA2
Amandine Monnot
#310WTA
1509ELO
1421Clay ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 4 · 2nd on
CRO
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
#390WTA
1257ELO
1253Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWW
Monnot A.
6-7 0-6
Ciric Bagaric L.
Monnot A.
6800
Ciric Bagaric L.
71062

Lucija Ciric Bagaric defeated Amandine Monnot in the semifinals of the Targu Mures clay tournament, winning 7-6, 6-0. Ciric Bagaric converted 83% of her break points and secured five service breaks, compared to Monnot's two. Ciric Bagaric committed four double faults and won 72% of her first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Monnot A.Ciric Bagaric L.
1st serve in·Even
57%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Monnot A.63%
Ciric Bagaric L.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Monnot A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Monnot A.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Ciric Bagaric L.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+168 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1253
8.1Overall Elo 1509
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1257
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Monnot A.Ciric Bagaric L.
Freshness·
100
—

Monnot A.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw