Lea Nilsson vs Dayeon BackW50 Horb Final

W50 Horb · ITF · Final
#375WTA
18 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
#275WTA
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLW
Nilsson L.
7-6 6-2
Back D.
Nilsson L.
7762
Back D.
6320

Lea Nilsson won the W50 Horb final on clay, defeating Dayeon Back with a score of 7-6, 6-2. Nilsson converted 71% of her break points and secured five service breaks, compared to Back's three. Nilsson also had a higher first-serve win percentage, at 71%, compared to Back's 53%.

Key context

  • Match story: Lea Nilsson closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
48%
52%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
0.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Nilsson L.38%
Back D.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Back D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
10.09-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw