Maxime Janvier vs Lorenzo AngeliniSan Marino Qualifying Semi-final

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#581ATP
1297ELO
1261Clay ELO
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWLLLW
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 DE LUIGI · 1st on
#575ATP
20 yrs
Last 10
LWWLWWLWWW
Janvier M.
vs
Angelini L.

Maxime Janvier faces Lorenzo Angelini in the San Marino qualifying semi-final on clay. Lorenzo Angelini holds the paper edge — ranked #575.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Janvier M.47%
Angelini L.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.13 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

15 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
0.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Janvier M.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Angelini L.

Angelini L.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Janvier M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
95

Janvier M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Angelini L.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw