Miho Kuramochi vs Avery Alexander

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final

JPN2

Miho Kuramochi

#360WTA

1383ELO

1360Hard ELO

28 yrs

Last 10

WLWWLWLWWW

—

Sets

Sunday, 26 July 2026 · 11:30

hard

Court 5 · 4th on

CAN

Avery Alexander

#1248WTA

16 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWLLLLWLW

Kuramochi M.

Alexander A.

Miho Kuramochi faces Avery Alexander in the Vancouver qualifying final on hard. Miho Kuramochi holds the paper edge — ranked #360, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Around the match

“It means so much. This is my first WTA level event and it's super special playing it in Canada, in Vancouver. I love this place.”
Alexander A.vanopen.com ↗· 2026-07-26

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC

Kuramochi M.78%

Alexander A.22%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kuramochi M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Miho Kuramochi edged Hiroko Kuwata in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
Last match: Avery Alexander edged Martina Okalova in three tight sets (6–4 4–6 7–6).
Surface form: Miho Kuramochi 7 of 10, Avery Alexander 4 of 10 on hard recently — Miho Kuramochi the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Kuramochi M.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Alexander A.

4.2

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

7.0Leads 1–0 on hard

H2H

3.0Trails 0–1 on hard

4.95 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

2.82 of last 8 on hard

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 2 matches

Statistics

This season

Kuramochi M.Alexander A.

1st serve in·Clear edge

74%

55%

1st serve points won·Even

57%

60%

2nd serve points won·Clear edge

42%

55%

Service points won·Even

54%

57%

Return points won·Slight edge

47%

36%

Break points saved·Even

52%

53%

Aces / match·Slight edge

0.3

1.0

Double faults / match·Even

2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Kuramochi M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Alexander A.

Alexander A.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kuramochi M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Kuramochi M.Alexander A.

Freshness·

—

Alexander A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather forecast

16°CRain

Wind 11 km/hHumidity 93%

Head to head

1–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-07-23	W35 Saskatoon	R16	hard	Miho Kuramochi	5-7 2-6

Miho Kuramochi vs Avery Alexander — Vancouver Qualifying Final