Lea Ma vs Tyler Smith — Washington Qualifying Semi-final
Washington · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
JOHN HARRIS · 4th on
Ma L.4-6 6-7
Smith T.
Ma L.
4650
Smith T.
6772
Tyler Smith defeated Lea Ma 6-4, 7-6 in the semifinals of the Washington tournament. Smith converted all six of his break points, while Ma converted one of six. Smith won the match despite having a lower first-serve win percentage and the same number of aces as Ma.
Key context
- Match story: Tyler Smith edged Lea Ma in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
57%
—
1st serve points won·
67%
—
2nd serve points won·
48%
—
Service points won·
59%
—
Return points won·
43%
—
Break points saved·
61%
—
Aces / match·
2.9
—
Double faults / match·
2.1
—
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTCMa L.61%
Smith T.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Ma L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.8Won 62% in Usa (88)
Country comfortSurface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 36%