Clervie Ngounoue vs Varvara LepchenkoWashington Qualifying Semi-final

Washington · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#334WTA
1510ELO
1484Hard ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 2nd on
#175WTA
1578ELO
1559Hard ELO
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLL
Ngounoue C.
1-6 6-4 4-6
Lepchenko V.
Ngounoue C.
1641
Lepchenko V.
6462

Varvara Lepchenko defeated Clervie Ngounoue in the semifinals of the Washington tournament, advancing with a 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 victory. Lepchenko converted 62% of her break points and won 75% of her first-serve points, while Ngounoue converted 67% of her break points and won 59% of her first-serve points. Lepchenko secured 5 service breaks to Ngounoue's 2, with both players hitting 1 ace and 1 double fault.

Key context

  • Match story: Varvara Lepchenko came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-12W35 Naples 1QFclayClervie Ngounoue6-3 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
58%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Ngounoue C.66%
Lepchenko V.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ngounoue C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1484
Surface ELO
5.9+75 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1510
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1578
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in Usa (50)
Country comfort
6.0Won 66% in Usa (50)
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
63

Ngounoue C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Lepchenko V.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw