Mayar Sherif vs Tamara KorpatschHamburg Semi-final

Hamburg · WTA · Semi-final
#73WTA
1685ELO
1663Clay ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWWWW
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#81WTA
1668ELO
1655Clay ELO
31 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLLLLL
Sherif M.
vs
Korpatsch T.

Mayar Sherif faces Tamara Korpatsch in the Hamburg semi-final on clay. Mayar Sherif holds the paper edge — ranked #73.

Around the match

  • The legs were really good today, but maybe I shouldn't go to three sets every time.

    Korpatsch T.hamburg-open.com· 2026-07-25
  • It was an incredibly high level, I haven't experienced something like this in a long time. I simply believed in what I did in recent weeks, and when you do that, you get rewarded in the end.

    Sherif M.hamburg-open.com· 2026-07-25

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Sherif M.63%
Korpatsch T.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sherif M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Sherif M. 1–2 · Korpatsch T. 1–2 · small sample
Both lost · different surfaces (Clay × Grass)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+8 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1655
5.2Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1668
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
10.010 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on clay
10.013-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sherif M.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Korpatsch T.

Korpatsch T.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Sherif M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
2
0
Break points saved·Clear edge
14
0
Break points won·Clear edge
9
28
Deciding sets·Clear edge
6
20
Tiebreaks·
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
49
73

Sherif M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 112 games (7d) · Korpatsch T.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 41%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw