Julieta Pareja vs Polina IatcenkoWashington Qualifying Semi-final

Washington · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#290WTA
1506ELO
1452Hard ELO
17 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 1st on
#160WTA
1605ELO
1567Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLL
Pareja J.
6-4 6-2
Iatcenko P.
Pareja J.
662
Iatcenko P.
420

Julieta Pareja defeated Polina Iatcenko 6-4, 6-2 in the semifinals of the Washington hard-court tournament. Pareja hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, winning 74 percent of her first-serve points and converting 40 percent of her break points. She broke Iatcenko's serve 4 times, compared to Iatcenko's 1 break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Pareja J.47%
Iatcenko P.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1452
Surface ELO
6.4+115 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1506
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1605
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.4Won 74% in Usa (38)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Iatcenko P.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw