William Jansen vs Naoya HondaM25 Champaign Semi-final

M25 Champaign · ITF · Semi-final
#1094ATP
21 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
#668ATP
1240ELO
1236Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLW
Jansen W.
6-7 6-7
Honda N.
Jansen W.
64650
Honda N.
77772

Naoya Honda defeated William Jansen in the M25 Champaign semifinals, winning 7-6, 7-6 on hard courts. Both players served strongly, with Honda and Jansen each hitting six aces and committing one and two double faults, respectively. Neither player converted a break point, and no service breaks were made in the match.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
51%
54%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
57%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
66%
Return points won·Clear edge
23%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
40%
53%
Aces / match·Even
5.0
5.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Jansen W.41%
Honda N.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Honda N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw