Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin HalysKitzbuhel Semi-final

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Semi-final
#52ATP
1781ELO
1741Clay ELO
$608kYTD
$4.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLWLWL
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
clay
#83ATP
1707ELO
1664Clay ELO
$721kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWLWLW
Hanfmann Y.
vs
Halys Q.

Yannick Hanfmann faces Quentin Halys in the Kitzbuhel semi-final on clay. Yannick Hanfmann is the paper favourite — ranked #52, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage — but Quentin Halys has won their only previous meeting, though none on clay. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Hanfmann Y.55%
Halys Q.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+77 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1664
5.9Overall Elo 1781
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1707
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

17 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
10.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hanfmann Y.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Halys Q.

Halys Q.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Hanfmann Y.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
37
8
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
94
Break points won·Even
3
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
16
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
3
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
68
59

Hanfmann Y.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Halys Q.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 25%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2016-03-21France F7R32hardQuentin Halys6-1 7-5

Draw