Matteo Martineau vs Oliver Crawford

Segovia · CHALLENGER · Semi-final

FRA

Matteo Martineau

#335ATP

1417ELO

1398Hard ELO

27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLLLWLWL

—

Sets

Saturday, 25 July 2026 · 19:00

hard

PISTA PEDRO MUÑOZ · 3rd on

GBR5

Oliver Crawford

#237ATP

1444ELO

1413Hard ELO

27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLWWLWWW

Martineau M.

Crawford O.

Matteo Martineau faces Oliver Crawford in the Segovia semi-final on hard. Oliver Crawford holds the paper edge — ranked #237.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC

Martineau M.43%

Crawford O.57%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Matteo Martineau comes in with 1 days of rest and 81 games in 14d, vs Oliver Crawford's 1 and 142.
Last match: Oliver Crawford handed Alejandro Moro Canas a second-set bagel in a 6–4 6–0 win.
Win streak: Both arrive on three-match winning runs.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Martineau M.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Crawford O.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

4.8Hard Elo 1398

Surface ELO

5.2+14 Hard Elo edge

4.7Overall Elo 1417

ELO gap

5.3Overall Elo 1444

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.76 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

7.47 of last 10 on hard

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

7.03-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season

Martineau M.Crawford O.

1st serve in·Even

66%

62%

1st serve points won·Even

71%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

48%

54%

Service points won·Even

63%

65%

Return points won·Even

35%

37%

Break points saved·Slight edge

65%

60%

Aces / match·Dominant

6.2

3.1

Double faults / match·Clear edge

4.0

3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Martineau M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Crawford O.

Crawford O.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Martineau M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Martineau M.Crawford O.

Clutch Rating·Even

Break points saved·Clear edge

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Clear edge

Tiebreaks·Even

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load

Martineau M.Crawford O.

Freshness·Slight edge

Martineau M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Crawford O.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather forecast

21°CPartly cloudy

Wind 17 km/hHumidity 49%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Matteo Martineau vs Oliver Crawford — Segovia Semi-final

Win Probability

Key context

Common opponents

Umpiry Score

Statistics

Serve vs return

Clutch

Freshness

Conditions

Head to head

Draw