Liam Draxl vs Clement Chidekh — Winnipeg Quarter-final

Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Liam Draxl
CAN
Liam Draxl
#216ATP
1592ELO
1565Hard ELO
$201kYTD
$642kCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 4th on
FRA6
Clement Chidekh
#205ATP
1513ELO
1523Hard ELO
$92kYTD
$401kCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWWW
Draxl L.
7-6 6-4
Chidekh C.
Draxl L.
7862
Chidekh C.
6640

Liam Draxl advanced to the semifinals of the Winnipeg hard-court tournament by defeating Clement Chidekh 7-6, 6-4 in the quarterfinals. Draxl won the first set in a tiebreaker and then took the second set 6-4.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-19M25 Wichita 1FhardClement Chidekh6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
Draxl L.Chidekh C.
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Draxl L.Chidekh C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
66
32
Break points saved·Even
83
83
Break points won·Dominant
36
9
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Draxl L.55%
Chidekh C.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Draxl L.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Chidekh C.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.5+42 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1523
6.0Overall Elo 1592
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1513
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.95 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Draxl L.Chidekh C.
Freshness·Slight edge
89
78

Draxl L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Chidekh C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw