Preston Brown vs M. ThomsonM15 Huamantla 3 Semi-final

M15 Huamantla 3 · ITF · Semi-final
#1161ATP
24 yrs · 198 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
#1205ATP
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWLLL
Brown P.
3-6 6-7
Thomson M.
Brown P.
3630
Thomson M.
6772

Matthew Thomson defeated Preston Brown 6-3, 7-6 in the semifinals of the M15 Huamantla 3 hard court tournament. Thomson hit 7 aces to Brown's 4 and had a 79% first-serve win percentage compared to Brown's 69%. Thomson converted 50% of break points and won 3 service breaks to Brown's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: M. Thomson closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
61%
1st serve points won·
70%
2nd serve points won·
46%
Service points won·
61%
Return points won·
32%
Break points saved·
52%
Aces / match·
7.9
Double faults / match·
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Brown P.35%
Thomson M.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Thomson M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
21°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 28%

Draw