Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Bondar — Hamburg Semi-final
Elina Avanesyan faces Anna Bondar in the Hamburg semi-final on clay. Anna Bondar is the paper favourite — ranked #97, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage — but Elina Avanesyan arrives in form, winning all 5 of their last clay matches to Anna Bondar's 4. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Elina Avanesyan ahead 1–0 on clay.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Elina Avanesyan 152 games in 14 days, Anna Bondar 110.
- Under pressure: Elina Avanesyan has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 50 vs Anna Bondar's 0).
- Last match: Elina Avanesyan received a walkover from Oleksandra Oliynykova.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAvanesyan E.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Bondar A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-17 | Budapest | R16 | clay | Elina Avanesyan | 6-3 6-0 |
| 2022-10-10 | Cluj Napoca | R32 | hard | Anna Bondar | 6-4 6-2 |