Lizette Cabrera vs Ariana ArseneaultW35 Saskatoon Semi-final

W35 Saskatoon · ITF · Semi-final
#298WTA
1453ELO
1418Hard ELO
28 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
#381WTA
1273ELO
1260Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Cabrera L.
3-6 4-6
Arseneault A.
Cabrera L.
340
Arseneault A.
662

Ariana Arseneault defeated Lizette Cabrera 6-3, 6-4 in the semifinals of the W35 Saskatoon tournament. Arseneault hit four aces and committed two double faults, while Cabrera had no aces and six double faults. Arseneault converted 50% of her break points and won six service breaks, compared to Cabrera's three service breaks and 38% break point conversion rate.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
55%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.9
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Cabrera L.58%
Arseneault A.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cabrera L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0+158 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1260
7.3Overall Elo 1453
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1273
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Arseneault A.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw