Johan Nikles vs Yannik KelmM25 Metzingen Quarter-final

M25 Metzingen · ITF · Quarter-final
#420ATP
1319ELO
1306Clay ELO
29 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
clay
#439ATP
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Nikles J.
2-6 5-7
Kelm Y.
Nikles J.
250
Kelm Y.
672

Yannik Kelm defeated Johan Nikles 6-2, 7-5 in the quarterfinals of the M25 Metzingen tournament on clay. Kelm hit 0 aces and 3 double faults, while Nikles had 1 ace and 0 double faults. Kelm converted 67% of his break points and won 6 service breaks to Nikles' 3.

Key context

  • Match story: Yannik Kelm closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
62%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Nikles J.56%
Kelm Y.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.27 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.00 of last 5 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 7
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Nikles J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw