Tamara Korpatsch vs Anhelina Kalinina — Hamburg Quarter-final
Korpatsch T.
Tamara Korpatsch faces Anhelina Kalinina in the Hamburg quarter-final on clay. Anhelina Kalinina is the paper favourite — ranked #56, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage — but Tamara Korpatsch arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay to Anhelina Kalinina's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Kalinina A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Anhelina Kalinina has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 38 vs 0).
- Last match: Anhelina Kalinina dropped just 4 games past Maria Lourdes Carle.
- Last match: Tamara Korpatsch handed Julia Stusek a first-set bagel in a 6–0 3–6 6–3 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKorpatsch T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Kalinina A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.