Francesca Jones vs Jennifer RuggeriPalermo Quarter-final

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#113WTA
1619ELO
1621Clay ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRALE · 1st on
#221WTA
1577ELO
1554Clay ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWWWLW
Jones F.
4-6 6-3 6-2
Ruggeri J.
Jones F.
4662
Ruggeri J.
6321

Francesca Jones defeated Jennifer Ruggeri in the quarterfinals of the Palermo tournament on clay, 4-6, 6-3, 6-2. Jones served two aces and committed five double faults, winning 65 percent of her first serves and converting 67 percent of her break points. Ruggeri had one ace, four double faults, 63 percent first-serve wins, and 44 percent break-point conversions.

Around the match

  • Jones advanced to semifinals despite battling intestinal problems during her comeback victory over Ruggeri.

    Jones F.palermoladiesopen.it· 2026-07-24

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
49%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Jones F.53%
Ruggeri J.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+67 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1554
5.5Overall Elo 1619
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1577
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.78 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on clay
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
52
61

Jones F.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 96 games (7d) · Ruggeri J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw