Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gaston — Estoril Quarter-final
Estoril · ATP · Quarter-final
—
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
clay
FRA#109ATP
1622ELO
1566Clay ELO
$376kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWWLW
Torres T.vs
Gaston H.
Tiago Torres faces Hugo Gaston in the Estoril quarter-final on clay. Hugo Gaston holds the paper edge — ranked #109.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTCTorres T.31%
Gaston H.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Gaston H. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Tiago Torres comes in with 2 days of rest and 18 games in 14d, vs Hugo Gaston's 1 and 136.
- Last match: Hugo Gaston handed Titouan Droguet a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–3 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form7.07 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
8 vs 27 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
51%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.4
2.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 62%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.