Alevtina Ibragimova vs Clara Burel — Palermo Quarter-final

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final

RUS

Alevtina Ibragimova

#236WTA

1508ELO

1472Clay ELO

21 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLWWWLLW

2 — 1

Sets

Friday, 24 July 2026 · 19:05

clay

CAMPO 6 · 2nd on

FRA

Clara Burel

#461WTA

25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWWLWLLL

Ibragimova A.

3-6 7-6 6-4

Burel C.

Ibragimova A.

37⁷62

Burel C.

66⁵41

Alevtina Ibragimova defeated Clara Burel 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the Palermo tournament on clay. Ibragimova converted 67% of her break points, while Burel converted 44%. Ibragimova secured 6 service breaks, one fewer than Burel's 7.

Key context

Match story: Alevtina Ibragimova dropped the opening set before beating Clara Burel 3–6 7–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Ibragimova A.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Burel C.

Burel C.serving36% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Ibragimova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Statistics

This season

Ibragimova A.Burel C.

1st serve in·Slight edge

70%

64%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

58%

51%

2nd serve points won·Clear edge

44%

29%

Service points won·Slight edge

54%

43%

Return points won·Even

47%

45%

Break points saved·Slight edge

56%

48%

Aces / match·Slight edge

1.2

0.5

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.5

3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC

Ibragimova A.40%

Burel C.60%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Burel C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Ibragimova A.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Burel C.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.86 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.84 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Ibragimova A.Burel C.

Freshness·Clear edge

Ibragimova A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d) · Burel C.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Slowlow bounce, long rallies

SlowFast

Weather

29°CPartly cloudy

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 62%

Alevtina Ibragimova vs Clara Burel — Palermo Quarter-final

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Statistics

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return